MD Governor Primary (user search)
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Author Topic: MD Governor Primary  (Read 4038 times)
PragmaticPopulist
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,236
Ireland, Republic of


Political Matrix
E: -7.61, S: -5.57

« on: June 26, 2018, 05:23:13 PM »

Who will be the lamb for Hogan to slaughter?
It won't be a slaughterfest, but Hogan is definitely favored. I think he wins by mid-to-high single-digits.
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PragmaticPopulist
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,236
Ireland, Republic of


Political Matrix
E: -7.61, S: -5.57

« Reply #1 on: June 26, 2018, 06:51:24 PM »

Who will be the lamb for Hogan to slaughter?
It won't be a slaughterfest, but Hogan is definitely favored. I think he wins by mid-to-high single-digits.

Are you sure that Larry Hogan won't get defeated this year?
The race could change in 5 months, but it's not looking likely at the moment.
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PragmaticPopulist
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,236
Ireland, Republic of


Political Matrix
E: -7.61, S: -5.57

« Reply #2 on: June 26, 2018, 08:52:36 PM »

Jealous won the early vote, but there is still significant votes outstanding.
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PragmaticPopulist
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,236
Ireland, Republic of


Political Matrix
E: -7.61, S: -5.57

« Reply #3 on: July 11, 2018, 01:25:21 PM »

Wow, great. The left wing wins for once, and now a moderate is going to hand over the race to the Rs. Wonderful.
But this is MD. Is this a contested area? Or would this just shape up to be spoiler vs nominee.
Unlikely. Montgomery County is a heavily Democratic County.
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PragmaticPopulist
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,236
Ireland, Republic of


Political Matrix
E: -7.61, S: -5.57

« Reply #4 on: July 19, 2018, 11:55:08 AM »

The polls are showing Dems making enroads in Ohio and FL and Hogan won and Rauner won in 2014 due to depressed Black turnout.

If Rauner goes down and Hogan doesnt survive, its a wave. But, if Hogan wins, it may not be a wave
Don't rule out the possibility that Black voters split their tickets and vote for Hogan for governor, but D down the ballot. Hogan really is that sort of Republican who can do that.

I don't think Hogan will have coattails though.
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