Alberta Election 2019

[Harlow]

I did some work last year to come up with new vote margins following the redistribution, if anyone's interested.

Definitely interested.

Amazing blank map, thank you. Do you know if there's a redistricted blank version of PEI?

[Harlow]

The AP's vote share went the opposite direction I expected it to go in this campaign. I wonder how much of it is people who would otherwise be UCPers jumping ship.

[Harlow]

Our internal polls do not show the Liberals winning a seat BTW. The NDP are winning Mountain View, perhaps their only pickup of the night.

Will you make an overall prediction of the seat count?

This is mine:
UCP: 56
NDP: 30
Alb: 1

Of course, all I've really done is apply the result of the 1975 B.C election to this, more or less.

1975
S.C: 35
NDP: 18
Liberal: 1
P.C: 1

(The P.C was Dr Scott Wallace from Oak Bay, the Liberal I believe was Gordon Gibson from North Vancouver-Seymour.)

NDP predictions:
Edmonton CMA: 20 of 27 ridings
Calgary CMA: 8 of 30 ridings
rest of province: 2 of 30 ridings.

According to election-atlas.ca, Gibson was from North Vancouver-Capilano.

[Harlow]

I wonder if US leftists will learn from their Canadian cousins?  Or will they forge ahead to impose carbon taxes?

lol, the provincial politics of Alberta definitely compares to the US as a whole.