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[ltomlinson31]

On how many House seats Dems would gain:

Might as well be the contrarian. -4.

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Not impossible, nor unlikely. Last time we were in a similar situation with Bush, the Rs picked up a few seats in the midterms. Right now RCP has the race as essentially tied.

Remember, this isn't a presidential election year and Rs tend to do better in the midterms.

If the Senate is going to have R pickups then we're likely to see a similar situation in the House.

I've seen polls showing they are even in the generic ballot which means that Rs will net a bunch of seats.

[ltomlinson31]

Yeah I'll go ahead and put some of my KY-Gov quotes here. I'm sure there's more and people can find them if they want, my apologies to Bandit!

I'll add my own too!

https://twitter.com/MattJonesRadio/status/1182480886555648000

He also did say months before that Beshear had a 10-12% lead in polling early on, but it looks like it's vanished since. Very surprising to see a Democrat hold an early lead in a race in Kentucky only to see it disappear as the race goes on. Very unprecedented.