TX-U. of TX @Tyler: Trump +2 (Biden), +3 (Bloomberg), +6 (Sanders), +9 (Warren) (user search)
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  TX-U. of TX @Tyler: Trump +2 (Biden), +3 (Bloomberg), +6 (Sanders), +9 (Warren) (search mode)
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Author Topic: TX-U. of TX @Tyler: Trump +2 (Biden), +3 (Bloomberg), +6 (Sanders), +9 (Warren)  (Read 1417 times)
Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,407
United States


« on: February 02, 2020, 01:07:52 PM »

There aren’t going to be hordes of O'Rourke/Trump voters here, whether people like it or not. Trump winning TX by 2-6 is obviously far more likely than him winning TX by double digits or some nonsense like that.

There won't be hordes of O'Rourke/Trump voters but on the other hand it's important to keep in mind that 4% of O'Rourke voters voted for republican candidates for every other office (including for Dan Patrick), these voters could easily go to Trump.
By the way you have to take into account the fact that turnout among white non college whites should be substantially higher with Trump at the top of the ballot than without him, it should help Trump to run up his margins in East Texas
I do not really think turnout white non-college people were even down in Texas proportionate to other demos. That is what made Beto's near-win so stunning to me. After all, the CNN exit poll had Trump voters beating out Clinton voters by... 9 points.
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