Future Majority/Change Polls: DeSantis +5 or so on challengers

[Pollster]

While the margin on this poll is far more in line with reality than most other recent polling when it comes to the governor’s race, it apparently only has Rubio up THREE on his challenger.

Demings and Fried get the same share of the vote, Crist only does one point better.

Curious (genuinely) who you think the Crist/Rubio voters will be.

[Pollster]

While the margin on this poll is far more in line with reality than most other recent polling when it comes to the governor’s race, it apparently only has Rubio up THREE on his challenger.

Demings and Fried get the same share of the vote, Crist only does one point better.

Curious (genuinely) who you think the Crist/Rubio voters will be.

You know what? You’re actually probably right. I only got this notion that Rubio would outperform RDS by a bit due to his 8 point win in 2016.

Maybe some suburban moderates in Tampa Bay, Orlando or Jacksonville will be the Crist/Rubio voters. Crist isn’t going to swing back Miami at all.

I think a lot of Murphy's underperformance in 2016 had to do with the Democratic outside groups mostly pulling out of the state for a while after Labor Day and not going back in until it was effectively too late. Murphy also having to pivot relatively quickly from an open seat race to a race against a well-known incumbent probably also threw him off.