Georgia (Civiqs): Biden +1

[Pollster]

Unfortunately, it looks like (as is usual in the south) that undecideds are overwhelmingly white people (7% undecided vs. 2% for blacks and Hispanics).

Both Trump and Kemp won white people about 75-25, if we give Trump 75% of the white vote in this poll and leave everything else the same, he hovers just around 50% overall. If he loses even a couple percentage points of the white vote, he's losing to Biden (in this poll's model).

[Pollster]

Also, very notable here that people with an unfavorable opinion of both candidates are going for Biden by a staggering 60-2(!!).

[Pollster]

Seniors in GA not moving like they appear to be nationally or in Florida.

According to the 2016 exit polls, Trump won seniors in Georgia 67-31. That is a 10 point swing to Biden among seniors.

That's what happens when you alienate part of your base. Being weakened by 10 points with a group that is 20% of the electorate would be enough to swing the election in a vacuum from 2016.

Was just coming in to say this. 10% shift is pretty substantial.

Not only that, but 50-64 year olds also swing 9 points towards Biden here.