GA-SEN 2020 Class II Megathread (Perdue inc.)

[Rookie Yinzer]

I'm livid. Dem leaders and party activists need to put the pressure on the local BOEs now in preparation for November. This is unconscionable.

[Rookie Yinzer]

At this point, Democrats should probably be rooting for Ossoff to clear 50 to avoid a runoff. I like Tomlinson, but Ossoff is showing some strength in these early numbers and the Atlanta metro isn’t even in yet

Yup. Or Tomlinson drops out. Ossoff is leading 48-14% with 90% of the vote in. I don't know any example a candidate this far behind still pulled it off in a runoff.

Re: Tomlinson dropping out- not happening:

https://twitter.com/ChristineOnTV/status/1270592593978671106?s=20

Voting for Ossoff in August. 😩😬

[Rookie Yinzer]

Maya Dillard-Smith seems to have come out of nowhere to have kept up with Amico and Tomlinson. Is it a given that Tomlinson will be in second place?

I think her domination in the Columbus Metro is going to be enough to keep her above Amico and Smith even if she continues to languish in 3rd and 4th in some of these Metro counties.

[Rookie Yinzer]

This is JUST Dekalb-

https://twitter.com/ByTylerEstep/status/1270758645534527488

These are not all dems btw. If you go back a bit in the statewide GA thread you will find large county breakdowns of the mail ballots by partisanship. In general it's what you expect with big dem leads in the blue metro counties, but there is some signs of educated liberals using the system, since the dem numbers were good in the red counties and not just the blue ones.

I suspect 85-90 percent of DeKalb mail ins are Dems though. So lots of potential votes for Ossoff.

[Rookie Yinzer]

Tomlinson concedes:

https://twitter.com/teresatomlinson/status/1270884602635341824?s=20

[Rookie Yinzer]

Normally, I'm wary of rerunning losers. Even if they're great fundraisers like Ossoff, there's still a part of me that's hesitant.

GA is so tribal and partisan I don’t think it matters who we run. Stacey Abrams and the voter suppression stuff has Black people ready to turn out for whoever and we know the hicks are coming out full force to protect Trump. GA is going to be high turnout regardless. I think we are getting a runoff between Warnock and Collins and that’s going to be just as epic as the November general. What a time to be alive.

[Rookie Yinzer]

Normally, I'm wary of rerunning losers. Even if they're great fundraisers like Ossoff, there's still a part of me that's hesitant.

GA is so tribal and partisan I don’t think it matters who we run. Stacey Abrams and the voter suppression stuff has Black people ready to turn out for whoever and we know the hicks are coming out full force to protect Trump. GA is going to be high turnout regardless. I think we are getting a runoff between Warnock and Collins and that’s going to be just as epic as the November general. What a time to be alive.

No way is Warnock going to win a Runoff in January especially if the Senate is already decided one way or the other. I remember the ballistic Democratic Trolls over at DailyKos in 2008 when the believed Jim Martin would pull off a Runoff Victory against Saxby Chambliss. How did that turn out?

You're citing what happened twelve years ago as a predictor for a hypothetical runoff?  The state has changed a lot since then.  I'm not saying that Warnock would necessarily be favored, but it wouldn't be a slam dunk for Collins.

Oh, I don't deny that Georgia has changed but Warnock would not get the AA Support he needs in a Runoff to win especially if the Senate is already decided.
Looking at the past few years only Popular Louisiana Governor John Bel Edwards has managed to win a Runoff in a State of the Deep South. That is saying something.

If Democrats want to win in States like GA, AL, MS they have to do it outright on Election Day in November.

Sorry you don’t live here. This is not 2008. We have millions of new people on the rolls. In 2018, John Barrow and Lindy Miller got 48 percent in a run off for some down ballot races. The pastor of MLK’s old church, backed by Stacey Abrams, in the state at the center of voter suppression conversation is going to have high turnout in January. PERIOD.

[Rookie Yinzer]

Purdue lives on a private island calling somebody privileged. Oh ok....

[Rookie Yinzer]

I know others disagree but I doubt it was intentional. It’s just too transparent. Also the people acting like including Schumer makes it more anti semetic are dumb. Using the leaders of the opposite party is pretty much universal. Just because the Democratic Party has lots of Jewish senators doesn’t mean they are off limits from association with Schumer. Now, if it was intentional, and it may have been, it’s of course anti Semitic and unacceptable.

It really doesn't matter. Putting out an ad with two Jewish men, one with their nose enlarged claiming they're trying to "buy" Georgia is not a good look.

[Rookie Yinzer]

Leo Frank, a Jewish man, was lynched in Marietta, Georgia in 1915 for a crime he didn't commit. This ad made me think about that yesterday and made me even angrier. Perdue is scum.

[Rookie Yinzer]

Perdue still wins

Warnock and Ossoff are not winning GA this year

Not in this climate

Y'all say anything on this website.

[Rookie Yinzer]

I still don't think this will matter.

Anything that gets Ossoff resistance wine mom cash to turn out the burgeoning blue majority matters.

[Rookie Yinzer]

I hate Purdue but this won’t matter. It’s the Republican version of the Cal scandal

How many times y’all gon say that? Not a single person has posted that this is going to flip a Perdue voter. In a race that will be decided by <50,000 voters whether it’s a win, loss, or runoff Ossoff having more money to turn out low propensity Black Democrats and first time voters from immigrant communities in places like Cobb and Gwinnett matters.

[Rookie Yinzer]

https://twitter.com/ossoff/status/1317528476082180099

He got $30 million for a House race where he did worse than Hillary, so why not?

You’re such a bitter ass hater.

[Rookie Yinzer]

gave the impression that he was mocking her name.

Impression? That's exactly what he was doing lol

[Rookie Yinzer]

If Ossoff wins this I think he has a big future in the Democratic party.  Young, charisma, proved he can win in a GOP state, ect.

He has a big future no matter what.  He's our best candidate in Georgia and that will still be true down the line even if he loses this year.

That's a reach.

Stacey Abrams still exists.

[Rookie Yinzer]

If Ossoff wins this I think he has a big future in the Democratic party.  Young, charisma, proved he can win in a GOP state, ect.

He has a big future no matter what.  He's our best candidate in Georgia and that will still be true down the line even if he loses this year.

That's a reach.

Stacey Abrams still exists.

Osoff is a far better candidate than Abrams at this point.

No. Abrams boosted turnout within Democratic-leaning constituencies which is one of the ways candidate quality still matters in GA.

Abrams probably boosted African-American turnout at the margins...and then she went off the deep end with her Trumpian refusal to accept the election results after she lost and has been grifting ever since (well...that and publicly embarrassing herself by spamming news shows in sad attempt to convince people she wouldn’t be a Sarah Palin-level disaster if Biden picked her as VP).  At this point, she’s not just damaged goods, she’s a B- candidate at best.

Regular people don’t care about any of that. Abrams has more gravitas and would generate more energy than Ossoff.