Democratic Bayou/Cauci Saturday election results thread (first results @4pm ET?)

[Wiz in Wis]

Sanders is running out of states where he needs to run up the margins to eventually catch up.  Tell me, where exactly is his path to the nomination from here? 

He did make a good result tonight but those states have low delegates comparatively, So i see nothing wrong with the result. MS is last Clinton Southern state so after that Clinton will have no state to sweep IMO to make for 2-3 losses (This is assuming she does not sweep FL, NC, etc where she is likely to get a good result).

I think after 15th March, Sanders expects a string of wins, some in decent delegate states to decrease the numbers & have fighting chance going into CA & PA, which is entirely possible.

March 15th could be a decider - If Clinton get  150 odd delegate lead here & she very well could, it realistically is over. Sanders needs to put a good result & make an almost tie overall delegate wise on March 15th! BTW he was always gonna be a long shot

Clinton doesn't need to add another 150 delegates on March 15... all she needs to do is maintain her current lead of about 200. Obama almost never had a lead of more than 100 pledged delegates.

[Wiz in Wis]

Sanders is running out of states where he needs to run up the margins to eventually catch up.  Tell me, where exactly is his path to the nomination from here? 

He did make a good result tonight but those states have low delegates comparatively, So i see nothing wrong with the result. MS is last Clinton Southern state so after that Clinton will have no state to sweep IMO to make for 2-3 losses (This is assuming she does not sweep FL, NC, etc where she is likely to get a good result).

I think after 15th March, Sanders expects a string of wins, some in decent delegate states to decrease the numbers & have fighting chance going into CA & PA, which is entirely possible.

March 15th could be a decider - If Clinton get  150 odd delegate lead here & she very well could, it realistically is over. Sanders needs to put a good result & make an almost tie overall delegate wise on March 15th! BTW he was always gonna be a long shot

Clinton doesn't need to add another 150 delegates on March 15... all she needs to do is maintain her current lead of about 200. Obama almost never had a lead of more than 100 pledged delegates.

If she maintains it, then Sanders has a genuine shot as the next 10-12 States are very pro-Sanders & he will make up a huge number of delegates there. He will go into CA & PA needing a 60% vote share which is difficult but not impossible. That gives Sanders a REAL GENUINE CREDIBLE CHANCE.

If Clinton can rake up 100-150 more delegate lead in March 15th, it maybe practically over for Sanders!

Sanders would need a miracle to win PA, much less get 60%. The Philly machine is going to go all out for Hillary.

Obama had weeks to work on PA, and he still only got 45%. How does Bernie do better than that, especially without African Americans?

[Wiz in Wis]

Sanders is running out of states where he needs to run up the margins to eventually catch up.  Tell me, where exactly is his path to the nomination from here? 

He did make a good result tonight but those states have low delegates comparatively, So i see nothing wrong with the result. MS is last Clinton Southern state so after that Clinton will have no state to sweep IMO to make for 2-3 losses (This is assuming she does not sweep FL, NC, etc where she is likely to get a good result).

I think after 15th March, Sanders expects a string of wins, some in decent delegate states to decrease the numbers & have fighting chance going into CA & PA, which is entirely possible.

March 15th could be a decider - If Clinton get  150 odd delegate lead here & she very well could, it realistically is over. Sanders needs to put a good result & make an almost tie overall delegate wise on March 15th! BTW he was always gonna be a long shot

Clinton doesn't need to add another 150 delegates on March 15... all she needs to do is maintain her current lead of about 200. Obama almost never had a lead of more than 100 pledged delegates.

If she maintains it, then Sanders has a genuine shot as the next 10-12 States are very pro-Sanders & he will make up a huge number of delegates there. He will go into CA & PA needing a 60% vote share which is difficult but not impossible. That gives Sanders a REAL GENUINE CREDIBLE CHANCE.

If Clinton can rake up 100-150 more delegate lead in March 15th, it maybe practically over for Sanders!

Sanders would need a miracle to win PA, much less get 60%. The Philly machine is going to go all out for Hillary.

Obama had weeks to work on PA, and he still only got 45%. How does Bernie do better than that, especially without African Americans?

PA is not a huge black state, Obama & Bernie votes are not the same, in many states Bernie is getting the Hillary vote of 08 while Hillary is getting the Obama 08 vote.

These comparisons don't hold - It is difficult I agree, But there is a lot of time till PA, If Bernie is not out by then, his message will catch on - Longer it drags, more states Bernie wins is not a great thing for Clinton!

Sure, but in your scenario, winning PA 55-45, you are predicting a margin roughly the same as Clinton's in 08. That victory netted her a grand total of 12 delegates. Not sure how Bernie beats that.