Galactic Overlord
Jr. Member
Posts: 364
|
 |
« on: November 08, 2005, 09:56:01 AM » |
|
I think Corzine will win, 50%-46%. It won't be that different from his first senate race, interestingly.
As for Virginia, I would have said Kaine a few days ago by the margins people here are suggesting, 49%-47%. But now I'm really not sure. Bush came in yesterday, which is the right time to spur turnout (he visited Louisiana in 2002 for our senatorial candidate, but he came too early and the groundswell faded before election day). I also don't know the strength of the 72 hour GOTV program in Virginia. If this was Ohio or Florida, yeah, I know it would be strong enough, but I don't know how well these programs are developed in what were considered "safe" red states. Then there is the question of how Kaine will do in southern Virginia. He's polling very well in Fairfax, but that won't do it for him alone. Mark Warner won a good number of southern counties and kept it close in others, still giving him a pretty close victory.
So for the moment, I'll hold off and wait. I wouldn't be surprised if either candidate won.
|
