2022 Primary Election Night Coverage Megathread (9/13 - GRAND FINALE - DE, NH, RI) (user search)
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  2022 Primary Election Night Coverage Megathread (9/13 - GRAND FINALE - DE, NH, RI) (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2022 Primary Election Night Coverage Megathread (9/13 - GRAND FINALE - DE, NH, RI)  (Read 88349 times)
TML
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,544


« on: May 20, 2022, 11:14:01 AM »

Would Schrader likely win had he been more supportive of Biden's policies?

Maybe, but remember that his votes against key elements of Biden's policy agenda were the direct result of special interest donations he raked in during his tenure in Congress (e.g. he voted against prescription drug price reform after collecting hundreds of thousands of dollars from pharmaceutical industry donors).
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TML
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,544


« Reply #1 on: June 08, 2022, 11:41:10 PM »
« Edited: June 08, 2022, 11:44:15 PM by TML »

Primary turnout numbers in MT are one giant yikes for Democrats:

MT-1 (Trump +7.1)* -

GOP - 79,198 - 60%
DEM - 53,614 - 40%

MT-2 (Trump +27.5) -

GOP - 94,994 - 72%
DEM - 36,695 - 28%

Statewide (MT-1 & MT-2 R/D vote totals added up) -

GOP - 174,192 - 66%
DEM - 90,309 - 34%

For comparison and some context, MT-AL (D) 2018 & MT-SEN (R) 2018:

GOP - 152,483 - 58%
DEM - 110,883 - 42%

(a 16-point shift to the GOP since 2018)

*This is without deep-red Lincoln County reporting, which will widen the GOP's lead when it comes in (although I expect it to end up very close to 60/40 when everything is tallied).

Based on these numbers, do you think that the lack of ticket-splitting in MT in 2020 was a fluke, or do you think that it will be the norm for this state in the foreseeable future?
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TML
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,544


« Reply #2 on: June 11, 2022, 08:18:08 PM »

Am I the only one who still has get used to reading MT-1 and MT-2? 😄

How well would you be able to adapt to ME-AL and/or RI-AL at some point within the next generation?
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