What is the main takeaway from the 2023 election cycle? (user search)
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  What is the main takeaway from the 2023 election cycle? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: ^
#1
GOP turnout and enthusiasm without Trump is lower
 
#2
Dem turnout and enthusiasm without Biden is higher
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 55

Author Topic: What is the main takeaway from the 2023 election cycle?  (Read 975 times)
John Dule
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Posts: 18,462
United States


Political Matrix
E: 6.57, S: -7.50

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« on: November 08, 2023, 09:46:17 AM »

Obviously an oversimplification, and these aren't mutually exclusive. But which factor do you think accounts more for the disparity between 2024 GE polling and the results from last night?
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John Dule
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,462
United States


Political Matrix
E: 6.57, S: -7.50

P P P
« Reply #1 on: November 08, 2023, 12:18:09 PM »

Any poll that has Trump leading massively is absolute garbage. The end

It might be wishful thinking, but I do think it's possible that some pollsters overcorrected after 2016/2020 and are now being deliberately bullish on Trump with their sampling.
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