Former President tack50
tack50
Atlas Politician
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Posts: 11,882
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« on: August 23, 2020, 08:41:57 AM » |
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« edited: August 23, 2020, 08:52:11 AM by Senator tack50 (Lab-Lincoln) »
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Based on an even swing from 2018-Gov, here is how the CA victory map from a Republican looks like
So, if I had to sum it up, a Republican to win in CA needs to do all of the following:
1) Get yuge landslide margins in the Republican parts of California, breaking even 70% in many counties
2) Win San Diego and Sacramento
3) Win the Los Angeles suburban counties, and in fact getting 60% in the infamous "Romney-Clinton" ones.
4) Not get destroyed in Los Angeles (getting just below 40% of the vote)
5) Not get destroyed in the San Francisco bay area, winning Solano outright and getting like 40% of the vote overall or something like that
The question of course is whether a map like that is even possible. Or whether the Republican victory map would be like that or not; even swing gets very unrealistic when dealing with overturning such high margins. It is perfectly possible that instead, an R victory map requires the Republican to instead win more in the suburbs and less in rural areas or viceversa
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