will obama crack 90% in dc (user search)
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  will obama crack 90% in dc (search mode)
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Author Topic: will obama crack 90% in dc  (Read 2238 times)
Stranger in a strange land
strangeland
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Posts: 10,218
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« on: June 08, 2008, 12:51:22 PM »

I tend to doubt it. Among other things the black percentage in DC is dropping. From 2000 to 2006, it dropped from about 60% to 55%.

yes, but DC whites are quite liberal also, and tend to be the types of whites with whom Obama does well.
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Stranger in a strange land
strangeland
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*****
Posts: 10,218
United States


« Reply #1 on: June 08, 2008, 03:09:31 PM »

Prediction:
Obama 85%
McCain 9%
Nader 4%
Barr 2%

why do you think Nader will increase his DC vote share almost sixfold over 2004?
Because I think about 5-10% of DC whites will not vote for a black man

I doubt the racism bump is 10% anywhere, and certainly not in DC.
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