Agriculture is very worried about new trade restrictions. That should make Dems competitive in some rural areas that haven't been contested in a while.
But why is AZ-06 grouped with the rural districts? It is the furthest thing from rural!
The only type of bellwether the media understands are liberatarian upscale suburban districts, which they identify with. A bellwether with any other demographic profile is going to have horrific mistakes and hot takes in the mass media coverage, if they're covered at all.
This is particularly true of Beltway Media (publications like Poiltico, the Hill, Roll Call, etc.). The reason the GA-6 special got so much hype is because Beltway media types identified with it because it's at least superficially similar to NOVA and the DC Maryland burbs, and because Ossoff, as a Democratic Hill Staffer, had a very similar profile to these types of journalists and their friends circle.
