NYT LIVE POLL THREAD: (user search)
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  NYT LIVE POLL THREAD: (search mode)
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Poll
Question: How would you rate the NYT/Siena House polls methodology
#1
A: Freedom Methodology
 
#2
B
 
#3
C
 
#4
D
 
#5
F: Horrible Methodology
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 139

Author Topic: NYT LIVE POLL THREAD:  (Read 138547 times)
Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

« Reply #100 on: October 09, 2018, 07:41:36 PM »

Look, I still think Rosen wins so don't call me a concern troll, BUT can someone please tell me why we could not have gotten a better candidate in which this race would not even be close?
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

« Reply #101 on: October 09, 2018, 07:48:04 PM »

Look, I still think Rosen wins so don't call me a concern troll, BUT can someone please tell me why we could not have gotten a better candidate in which this race would not even be close?

There's nothing wrong with Rosen as a candidate. The entire circlejerk about her being a weak candidate is based off NOTHING other than the fact that she's not demolishing Heller in the polls. But Democrats never demolish Republicans in the polls in Nevada, even if they do end up demolishing them in real life.

Well she's a boring newb who has not even served a full term in the house (and that can easily be painted as her just platforming with the CD) and has 0 minority appeal or young person appeal. If she wins she can thank the blue wave, national environment, Dean Heller, the bluing of NV etc. but not her campaign or herself as a candidate. Just like Morrisey, if she wins, she can thank everything but herself or her campaign.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

« Reply #102 on: October 09, 2018, 07:49:30 PM »

Look, I still think Rosen wins so don't call me a concern troll, BUT can someone please tell me why we could not have gotten a better candidate in which this race would not even be close?

The race isn't really particularly close. It is just your imagination telling you that it is close.

And like the polls which were only off by low single digits in Nevada last time, meaning even if Rosen wins by 4-5 that's still quite close and we could have done better.
Logged
Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

« Reply #103 on: October 09, 2018, 08:00:35 PM »

Look, I still think Rosen wins so don't call me a concern troll, BUT can someone please tell me why we could not have gotten a better candidate in which this race would not even be close?

The race isn't really particularly close. It is just your imagination telling you that it is close.

And like the polls which were only off by low single digits in Nevada last time, meaning even if Rosen wins by 4-5 that's still quite close and we could have done better.

4-5 points isn't really that close. Yeah, probably someone else could have done better, but it is not like this race is anything like as seriously competitive as many people seem to believe.

You and me must have a different definition of close then. For me anything under 15 points is generally close.
Logged
Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

« Reply #104 on: October 09, 2018, 08:11:25 PM »

Look, I still think Rosen wins so don't call me a concern troll, BUT can someone please tell me why we could not have gotten a better candidate in which this race would not even be close?

The race isn't really particularly close. It is just your imagination telling you that it is close.

And like the polls which were only off by low single digits in Nevada last time, meaning even if Rosen wins by 4-5 that's still quite close and we could have done better.

4-5 points isn't really that close. Yeah, probably someone else could have done better, but it is not like this race is anything like as seriously competitive as many people seem to believe.

You and me must have a different definition of close then. For me anything under 15 points is generally close.

That's VERY lenient. So South Carolina was close in 2016?

From a glance yeah. Honestly we still know where most states will end up, but that does not mean that they aint close many times.
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