Which safe R states are most likely to become swing/blue states any time soon? (user search)
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  Which safe R states are most likely to become swing/blue states any time soon? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Pick three
#1
Kansas
 
#2
Mississippi
 
#3
Alaska
 
#4
South Carolina
 
#5
Louisiana
 
#6
Utah
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 74

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Author Topic: Which safe R states are most likely to become swing/blue states any time soon?  (Read 1778 times)
Dr. MB
MB
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Posts: 15,921
Libyan Arab Jamahiriya



« on: November 21, 2017, 08:28:14 PM »

Alaska, obviously... it's trending bluer by the minute

I could see Kansas becoming a Lean R state in ten or 20 years if Wichita and the KC suburbs become Democratic, but it will still be outnumbered by the Republicans.

South Carolina might go the way of its two neighbors eventually, but it will take longer. Mississippi's more likely than Alabama but I doubt it will go D anytime soon.
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Dr. MB
MB
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,921
Libyan Arab Jamahiriya



« Reply #1 on: November 21, 2017, 09:11:06 PM »

Alaska, obviously... it's trending bluer by the minute

I could see Kansas becoming a Lean R state in ten or 20 years if Wichita and the KC suburbs become Democratic, but it will still be outnumbered by the Republicans.

South Carolina might go the way of its two neighbors eventually, but it will take longer. Mississippi's more likely than Alabama but I doubt it will go D anytime soon

what is your evidence for Alaska becoming blue?
Democrats have their best position in the state house since the early 90s, also margin of victory:

2000 – 30.5%
2004 – 25.6%
2008 – 21.5%
2012: 14%
2016: 14.7%

Also, in 2016 Trump barely cracked 50%.
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