MO-Missouri Scout/Remington (R): Tie (user search)
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  MO-Missouri Scout/Remington (R): Tie (search mode)
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Author Topic: MO-Missouri Scout/Remington (R): Tie  (Read 4286 times)
Arkansas Yankee
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« on: August 12, 2018, 07:44:56 PM »

Is that an improvement for McCaskill since the last poll?

Yeah, she was down by 2 in their July poll.

Seeing as this is a Republican pollster, good result for McCaskill. McCaskill is sort of the anti-Nelson. She's looking less vulnerable than, say, Donnelly and Heitkamp because of how weak Hawley is shaping up to be. However, just like Nelson has room to grow and will probably surge toward the end, McCaskill's ceiling is low and Hawley could surge toward the end. Best case scenario is Nelson gets his s*it together and Hawley doesn't, of course.

Can you two not read?  The article says that this is a Missouri Scout poll.  It also says that the last two Missouri Scout polls had McCaskill up by 4.

This new poll is not yet in the RCP average. If it Is added, the average becomes McCaskill +.2.  If you drop the April and May polls it becomes Hawley +.7

The race is a tossup.
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Arkansas Yankee
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Posts: 1,175
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« Reply #1 on: August 13, 2018, 12:02:37 AM »

Is that an improvement for McCaskill since the last poll?

Yeah, she was down by 2 in their July poll.

Seeing as this is a Republican pollster, good result for McCaskill. McCaskill is sort of the anti-Nelson. She's looking less vulnerable than, say, Donnelly and Heitkamp because of how weak Hawley is shaping up to be. However, just like Nelson has room to grow and will probably surge toward the end, McCaskill's ceiling is low and Hawley could surge toward the end. Best case scenario is Nelson gets his s*it together and Hawley doesn't, of course.

Can you two not read?  The article says that this is a Missouri Scout poll.  It also says that the last two Missouri Scout polls had McCaskill up by 4.

This new poll is not yet in the RCP average. If it Is added, the average becomes McCaskill +.2.  If you drop the April and May polls it becomes Hawley +.7

The race is a tossup.

MO scout was used, but Remington, an R firm, sponsored the poll. So this is, in fact, a Remington poll.
But does that mean they can be compared to show movement.  Generally I will not use two different polling organizations to show movement.
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Arkansas Yankee
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« Reply #2 on: August 13, 2018, 12:42:11 PM »

RCP HAS THE NEW Missouri Scout poll posted and still has the Remington poll in the mix.  Th average is Hawley +.2.  If you disregard all the pre July polls the average is Hawley +1.
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Arkansas Yankee
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Posts: 1,175
United States
« Reply #3 on: August 14, 2018, 01:49:29 PM »

This is a good poll for Hawley considering how this is a Democratic internal and shows an improvement since last time. Hawley can also find optimism with the fact that republicans have tended to outperform the polls in Missouri as of Late
This is a Republican internal.

WTH it's neither of those.

Would those claiming this anybody’s internal poll please provide proof?
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