Would Sanders win Pennsylvania? (user search)
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  Would Sanders win Pennsylvania? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Would Sanders win PA
#1
yes
 
#2
no
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 2

Author Topic: Would Sanders win Pennsylvania?  (Read 1297 times)
Lord Admirale
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E: -1.94, S: -0.70

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« on: June 27, 2017, 06:12:36 PM »

I think he'd win it, but take the more traditional route of victory for a Democrat. That is, keeping the margins down in central PA, while picking up just enough voters in ancestrally Democratic southwestern PA to offset any dropoff in minority turnout.
That has not happened since 2008, nor will it happen with a social justice warrior.

Trump wins PA. Philly is crucial to a Democratic win.
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Lord Admirale
Admiral President
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,879
United States Minor Outlying Islands


Political Matrix
E: -1.94, S: -0.70

P P P

« Reply #1 on: July 09, 2017, 08:23:02 AM »

Minority turnout would go down, not to mention he lost PA pretty handily in the primary. Suburbanites wouldn't vote for Bernie, so Trump might actually perform better in PA.
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Lord Admirale
Admiral President
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,879
United States Minor Outlying Islands


Political Matrix
E: -1.94, S: -0.70

P P P

« Reply #2 on: July 09, 2017, 08:34:34 AM »

I think yes.

The key area in PA for 2016 was the rural areas, especially the northeast. In that area, the urban centers of Scranton and Wilkes-Barre were won by the Democrats, but the rural areas were won by Republicans by huge margins. This area is dominated by white working-class voters. The final statistics showed that merely matching Obama's 2012 turnout levels in Philadelphia and surrounding areas would not have been enough for Hillary to offset Trump's gains elsewhere in the state.

Sanders would have been able to appeal to white working-class voters and millennial voters better than Hillary did. It is plausible that he could use his appeal to such groups to his advantage to at least revert Northeastern PA to Obama 2012 levels and thus flip PA to the Democrats.
You know who WWC love? An atheist socialist who hates the US and wants to take their money. It's their dream candidate. Oh, wait.
This.

Not to mention, Sanders lost many "WWC counties" to Clinton in the primary. Just look at southwest PA
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