Def Texas, even though it's part of the South and has a big religious factor.
The reason why I say this is because in TX, non-voters are disproportionately younger, disproportionately people of color, and disproportionately live in urban centers.
"Socially right but culturally left", as opposed to
Florida feels like a state that largely leans liberal on many issues but votes R for cultural reasons, a particularly competent state R party, a particularly incompetent state D party, and turnout dynamics being favorable to Rs.
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