How long until Iowa is to the right of Missouri?

[Technocracy Timmy]

Like assuming anywhere remotely cosmopolitan will indefinitely become more Democratic, haha.

With the exception of cosmopolitan areas that are getting large influxes of boomer retirees, I think this is a fairly reliable indicator at least in the next few cycles.

Most cosmopolitan areas are younger, more ethnically/racially/religiously diverse, often more secular, more educated, etc.

[Technocracy Timmy]

Like assuming anywhere remotely cosmopolitan will indefinitely become more Democratic, haha.

With the exception of cosmopolitan areas that are getting large influxes of boomer retirees, I think this is a fairly reliable indicator at least in the next few cycles.

Most cosmopolitan areas are younger, more ethnically/racially/religiously diverse, often more secular, more educated, etc.

I agree in the next few cycles, but he said “permanent.”  Something will shake up our coalitions in the coming decades.

Some things don't change though. Wyoming, Kansas, Utah (to some extent), Nebraska, among others, have all been Republican strongholds for their entire existence, with Kansas even resisting Democrats at the height of the Great Depression.

Even those things can eventually change. The Democrats were the Party of the south for generations until they weren’t. The GOP were the Party of New England for generations until they weren’t. Some things in politics which seem like 100 year+ long constants can change.

After all it wasn’t until 2008 when we finally elect a Democratic President who for the first time not only didn’t carry Arkansas but lost the state quite badly.