Congressional Special Election (last call! unstickied after NY-27 final results)

[Technocracy Timmy]

I think the biggest takeaway from both elections is that the urban/suburban vs. rural divide is likely to intensify in 2020.

[Technocracy Timmy]

If Dems can come anywhere near this close in the Presidential race in NC-09 next year, they’ll win the state easily, right?

It’s the beginning of the end for Trump.

[Technocracy Timmy]

It's now official. McCready improves from his 2018 result in suburban Mecklenburg (Bishop's home turf!) and does roughly the same in suburban Union County. But he does worse overall due to a total collapse in the rural areas, losing two rural counties he carried in 2018 and nearly losing one he carried by 15 points (!) in 2018!

Politician, Zaybay, and everyone else who insists there will be a rural surge for the Democrats in 2020 must be reeling right now.

Their poor mothers will have to fix them up the dankest plates of tendies to boost their morale back.

[Technocracy Timmy]

It's now official. McCready improves from his 2018 result in suburban Mecklenburg (Bishop's home turf!) and does roughly the same in suburban Union County. But he does worse overall due to a total collapse in the rural areas, losing two rural counties he carried in 2018 and nearly losing one he carried by 15 points (!) in 2018!

Politician, Zaybay, and everyone else who insists there will be a rural surge for the Democrats in 2020 must be reeling right now.

Surprised that you semi-remember that(I believe I only said there would be a large swing towards the Ds in rurals compared to 2016, which there were, including in this district), though at this point the evidence is pretty obvious that, while there was a sort-of dead cat bounce in rurals for the Democrats, its neither noticeable nor really important when compared with the more urban metro trends.

Edit: Also, if you want to compare to 2016, the rurals swung more D than the Urban metro.