2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[cvparty]

I've a question. Does anyone have a guess as to how many counties Biden won? Looking at the county map, it appears that Biden flipped about 15-20 Trump counties from 2016 nationwide, while Trump flipped about a dozen Clinton counties. Biden didn't come anywhere near to approaching Barack Obama's 2012 numbers, let alone his 2008 numbers.

Bumping this forward because I don't think it was seen.

biden was leading in 524 last time i checked. there's a similar number of counties on both sides where one candidate is technically leading with partial results but won't actually win (ex. trump in lehigh, biden in walla walla), so it should stay in the 520-530 range

edit: clarification

[cvparty]

I've a question. Does anyone have a guess as to how many counties Biden won? Looking at the county map, it appears that Biden flipped about 15-20 Trump counties from 2016 nationwide, while Trump flipped about a dozen Clinton counties. Biden didn't come anywhere near to approaching Barack Obama's 2012 numbers, let alone his 2008 numbers.

Bumping this forward because I don't think it was seen.

biden was leading in 524 last time i checked. there's a roughly equal number of counties on both sides that will likely flip once outstanding votes come in, so it should stay in the 520-530 range

The counties Biden flipped are generally much larger suburban ones though.  So he's definitely improving on popular vote numbers overall.

i was referring to counties like lehigh, erie and bucks that are currently skewed to trump, but will go for biden once mail-ins are counted. and vice versa for counties like walla walla, placer, hunterdon that skew democratic right now.

in the end i'd expect there to be ~16 clinton-trump counties and ~54 trump-biden counties

[cvparty]

It’s there yet