ooh i’m excited this is where the winnowing begins
I really don't think winnowing will happen much. We're not far from Super Tuesday and the "weakest" candidates have their firewalls coming. Biden (if you consider him weak) is set to do fairly well in Nevada and is polling well in South Carolina. Klobuchar has Minnesota on Super Tuesday. Warren has Massachusetts on Super Tuesday. Maybe candidates like Gabbard drop out, but I'd be surprised if we saw this great winnowing of the field, especially given so much money has already been spent on Super Tuesday states.
yes yes i know klobmentum is on its way to launching amy past a national delegate majority. but in all seriousness this is the first of many racially diverse states; performing poorly here is a bad omen for any candidate. for what it’s worth biden’s polling average here is lower than it was in iowa. additionally, barring some wild upset, this is where bernie’s delegate snowballing begins. klobuchar/warren are not going to be saved by firewalls that consist of a single state (which they very well might not even win against bernie)