Allred and Guttierez would both be great recruits. Allred would likely overperform in DFW and Guttierez would in the RGV, only thing is Dems need to do well in both and we can only run one candidate. ill reserve making a judgment till they both announce and see how they do with the voters.
Allred is the better of the two, my hot take is they will both underperform in the RGV relative to the past. I think its a sinking ship down there for Democrats and Cruz has the right personality.
This seat won't flip regardless. Allred has a record that is not going to jibe well in 2024, Gutierrez is too progressive for the state. I do think Gutierrez is a phenomenal public speaker though.
Oh, they definitely will, Rs registered a ton of new Republican voters there in recent years, and 2022 showed that the RGV is not going back to how it voted prior to 2020. However not getting totally crushed is important there are quite a few counties there with lots of voters.
I believe Guttieriez can do significantly better than Biden and Beto did in 2020 and 2022 but the days of hitting 70% plus in those counties are over. Not sure how Allred would do there but he likely doesn't have the same appeal as Guttieriez does, he may outrun Biden their but probably not significantly.
