More likely to flip: Indiana or Virginia?

[Hoosier_Nick]

Virginia of course. Hillary won it with a small plurality. Trump won Indiana with a huge majority and still has room to grow in the suburbs where he underperformed. Sherrod Brown is way too far left for my state, the idea that rural midwesterners, especially in the lower Midwest, are waiting for the white true leftist hero is an atlas fiction. Booker couldn't beat Trump here either barring a major crisis, Obama 08 was a fluke, the random time when Nate Silver's 5% chance wins.