If Hogan can't get 50% with 61% approvals that doesn't bode well. All the Dems have to do is connect him to Trump and it's over.
Dems can try this all they want but it won't work. Voters are smart enough to know not all Republicans are = to Trump especially a #Nevertrump Governor.
Edit: He can still loose but it won't be because of Trump.
Exactly. Governor's races often have little to do with the Incumbent President, and a lot more to do with local factors. It's why Mike Beebe won every county in 2010 even as Blanche Lincoln lost in a landslide, and why the Democrats have a much better chance of winning the Kansas governorship next year then the Massachusetts governorship.