How likely is your Congressional District to change parties in 2006? (user search)
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  How likely is your Congressional District to change parties in 2006? (search mode)
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Author Topic: How likely is your Congressional District to change parties in 2006?  (Read 12955 times)
bgwah
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« on: November 19, 2005, 07:05:10 PM »

I say 30%.

Dave Reichert (R) narrowly won an open seat in a Kerry district. He'll probably win, but I could certainly see him losing just for being a Republican and supporting most of their agenda.

Other than being an incumbent, he has a better chance of winning because the Democrats may not be able to come up with a decent candidate.

East King County trended heavily Dem between the 2000 and 2004 presidential elections, too.
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