AL-SEN: Shelby retiring

[Coldstream]

Given Mo Brooks was beaten by such electoral titans as Luther Strange and Roy Moore last time he ran for the senate, I’m not convinced he’d win a primary. Though he’d obviously start as the favourite for name recognition if nothing else.

[Coldstream]

I wonder how many people there are who served 20+ years in the house before moving up to another job (Senate/Governor etc) like Aderholdt would be. There can’t be many.

[Coldstream]

I wonder how many people there are who served 20+ years in the house before moving up to another job (Senate/Governor etc) like Aderholdt would be. There can’t be many.

Marsha Blackburn?

Only 16 years in the House under her belt (same as Bernie & Ron Wyden), but Schumer had 18, Ben Cardin had 20, & Ed Markey famously had 37.

Nathan Deal is another one, he had 18 like Schumer.

[Coldstream]

https://twitter.com/lyman_brian/status/1399777720305864707?s=21

She was also Shelby's chief of staff and his chosen successor

There was a suggestion a few months ago that he’d stand down and have her be appointed in his place, is that still likely? That seems the best chance of stopping Brooks.

[Coldstream]

https://twitter.com/lyman_brian/status/1399777720305864707?s=21

She was also Shelby's chief of staff and his chosen successor

There was a suggestion a few months ago that he’d stand down and have her be appointed in his place, is that still likely? That seems the best chance of stopping Brooks.

Because running in a GOP primary as an appointed incumbent worked out so well for the last guy that tried it in AL. I can almost hear the attack ads that imply a "corrupt bargain" already.

The last appointed incumbent beat Mo Brooks despite all of that.

[Coldstream]

Republican primary voters wouldn’t have chosen a lunatic like Roy Moore in 2017 if Brooks was a strong candidate. Not saying he won’t win this time, but I’ve never got why he’s seen as unbeatable..

[Coldstream]

I think the fact that “Not Mo Brooks” is getting 60-70% in the polls between Durant & Britt suggests that he’s gonna lose the run off to one of them. It’d be rare for a high profile divisive candidate like Brooks to do much better in the run off. Could be wrong, but I expected him to walk it like Walker is in Georgia - the fact he isn’t, and the fact he’s a proven statewide loser, makes me think Alabama just isn’t that in to him.

[Coldstream]

I think the fact that “Not Mo Brooks” is getting 60-70% in the polls between Durant & Britt suggests that he’s gonna lose the run off to one of them. It’d be rare for a high profile divisive candidate like Brooks to do much better in the run off. Could be wrong, but I expected him to walk it like Walker is in Georgia - the fact he isn’t, and the fact he’s a proven statewide loser, makes me think Alabama just isn’t that in to him.

At this point, I honestly wonder how likely it is that Brooks doesn't even make the runoff. Also from what I've heard, the fact that he's from Huntsville works against him in a statewide primary for whatever reason.

It does seem unlikely that undecideds are going to break for the most well known candidate (Brooks).

[Coldstream]

Trump gets dumber by the day.