NC-SEN, 2022: The Beasley Resurrection? (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 14, 2024, 02:03:27 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  NC-SEN, 2022: The Beasley Resurrection? (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: NC-SEN, 2022: The Beasley Resurrection?  (Read 48073 times)
Coldstream
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,020
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -6.59, S: 1.20

P P
« on: January 24, 2021, 07:40:17 PM »

I do wonder if Smith is underrated here as a potential candidate; she represented a fairly rural region where Democrats need to produce strong African American turnout in order to win statewide, and did a fairly good job holding down the district in what appears to have been a decently competitive re-election race in 2018.

I agree with this. I don’t think she’s as 'crazy' or inept as people are making her out to be, and she was right about some of the Democratic failures in last year's Senate race / the Democrats' inability to win NC at the federal level more generally:

https://prospect.org/politics/what-went-wrong-in-north-carolina-interview-erica-smith/
https://morningconsult.com/2019/06/06/erica-smith-thom-tillis-north-carolina-senate-race/

She’d probably have been favored to win an open seat in another Trump midterm. I suspect the national environment will be too much for Democrats to overcome here, but I don’t see how this is less promising a target for Democrats than WI.

This is a bit further than I think is fair. By 2022 it’ll have been four years since the Democrats last won a Senate seat in Wisconsin, and 14 since they last won one in North Carolina. Whilst the Democrats have won the presidential vote in Wisconsin in every election bar one in the last 32 years - whilst in that same time they’ve won North Carolina once. NC should be fought given how close it was in 2020 and Wisconsin obviously isn’t as D-leaning as it once was - but it’s still a far softer target even with an incumbent imo.
Logged
Coldstream
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,020
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -6.59, S: 1.20

P P
« Reply #1 on: February 14, 2021, 07:36:28 PM »

I’ve always got the sense Lara Trump only looks competent because she’s next to the idiots in the Trump family. I’m not convinced she’ll stand up to scrutiny against actual politicians like Walker/McCrory. Though that may not matter in terms of the actual result.
Logged
Coldstream
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,020
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -6.59, S: 1.20

P P
« Reply #2 on: March 06, 2021, 03:37:03 PM »


Yeah I like Jackson but an astronaut is just so much cooler.
Logged
Coldstream
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,020
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -6.59, S: 1.20

P P
« Reply #3 on: March 19, 2021, 03:51:47 AM »

I want Cunningham to run and finish 5th in the primary, he deserves more humiliation for his failures.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.024 seconds with 10 queries.