Ohio Ballot Issue 1 Megathread (August 8)

[Rjjr77]

According to the AP the Dem to Rep edge in Early and absentee was only 12% that gives leaning to a much closer race. This may just be a coin flip, I think No probably prevails 53-47

[Rjjr77]

According to the AP the Dem to Rep edge in Early and absentee was only 12% that gives leaning to a much closer race. This may just be a coin flip, I think No probably prevails 53-47

Nobody is expecting a majority-Democratic electorate. This is not a partisan race and I anticipate a lot of Republican voters voting NO.

ODP has put a huge emphasis on early voting, and that lead should be much bigger than 12% and while I also believe we'll see a lot of crossover votes, that difference is not where it should be. I would say this issue has certainly defined itself as more partisan over the past month

[Rjjr77]

According to the AP the Dem to Rep edge in Early and absentee was only 12% that gives leaning to a much closer race. This may just be a coin flip, I think No probably prevails 53-47

Nobody is expecting a majority-Democratic electorate. This is not a partisan race and I anticipate a lot of Republican voters voting NO.

ODP has put a huge emphasis on early voting, and that lead should be much bigger than 12% and while I also believe we'll see a lot of crossover votes, that difference is not where it should be. I would say this issue has certainly defined itself as more partisan over the past month

Do you not remember what happened when Arkansas and South Dakota tried to raise the threshold? They lost badly. How do you think that will play out in Ohio, a bluer state?

I do, but the volatility of an off year special is what makes this one a bit more interesting