Special Election megathread (6/11: OH-6, 6/25: CO-4)

[UncleSam]

FINSTAD, BRAD (R)- 24,540 (58.3%)
ETTINGER, JEFF (D)- 16,530 (39.3%)

Sorry what was expected here? I feel like Rs did badly in this district recently but only because of strong D incumbents, so not really sure what the ‘baseline’ is here.

[UncleSam]

Special is definitely good for Dems, indicates that as of now there is a sizable portion of the base super energized over abortion.

[UncleSam]

Btw,
I don't know where to post this but.

It is true that according to the polls inflation is more important than abortion for voters.

I have been Reading that for some twitter pundits and for some posters, the abortion issue is going to fade away. I absolutely don't believe so as to me this is wishful thinking from pro life people. People are so passionate about this issue so if you really think that they are going to forget about it "with Time" you're deadly wrong. Clearly an unpopular ruling that is impacting their lives and additionnally the evangelical base of the GOP is going to constantly push to ban abortion even in case of rape.

Well the horror stories (read USGD and that's about half of it) keep it in the news, while inflation held to zero last month.

While inflation still has a plurality, it used to be like 40% and now it's more like 25%.

Inflation was literally not zero, it was still like 8% annually. It just didn’t increase over the prior month.

Very annoyed that people keep posting this blatantly untrue misunderstanding in the presidents’ part of how inflation works.

Anyway yes abortion will remain impactful through November but it does seem as though the impact it has will be less then than it would have been over the summer. Such is the nature of politics.

[UncleSam]

Btw,
I don't know where to post this but.

It is true that according to the polls inflation is more important than abortion for voters.

I have been Reading that for some twitter pundits and for some posters, the abortion issue is going to fade away. I absolutely don't believe so as to me this is wishful thinking from pro life people. People are so passionate about this issue so if you really think that they are going to forget about it "with Time" you're deadly wrong. Clearly an unpopular ruling that is impacting their lives and additionnally the evangelical base of the GOP is going to constantly push to ban abortion even in case of rape.

Well the horror stories (read USGD and that's about half of it) keep it in the news, while inflation held to zero last month.

While inflation still has a plurality, it used to be like 40% and now it's more like 25%.

Inflation was literally not zero, it was still like 8% annually. It just didn’t increase over the prior month.

Very annoyed that people keep posting this blatantly untrue misunderstanding in the presidents’ part of how inflation works.

Anyway yes abortion will remain impactful through November but it does seem as though the impact it has will be less then than it would have been over the summer. Such is the nature of politics.

Month-over-Month was zero. That's what the headlines said. Obviously YoY is still high, because that's how math works.

No, that is not how the math works because inflation is not a month to month statistic, it is an annualized statistic due to how it fluctuates. No serious economist would ever quote this number as being of any significance whatsoever, the inflation rate in July was 8.5% annualized over last year, same as it was in June. Anything else is literally misinformation.