MD GOV Mason Dixon: Hogan +15 Baker/Kamenetz, +17 Jealous

[UncleSam]

This'll close once a nominee is official, but lean R nonetheless

Only reason to write this race off is if you decide Hogan isn't 'that bad'. I don't know enough about Maryland to say whether an average Democrat ought to hate Hogan or not, but from what I've heard he's more pragmatic than he is moderate, and if that is the case I don't see why Dems should write this off as a lost cause without at least spending a bit through the summer and seeing if it moves the needle. If not, pull out come September or October, but there's no reason to give up on this race if you're a Dem in early March lol

[UncleSam]

Maryland will send one extra R to congress once Kennedy overturns the map, but it won't matter because that extra R will be joined by 2 or 3 extra Ds from PA and probably others