UncleSam
Sr. Member
Posts: 2,523
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« on: September 29, 2017, 09:53:38 PM » |
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Idk Lewis' district is R+2 and has elected R congressman for 20 years, votes for R on the presidential level, and Lewis now has incumbency.
Paulsen's district is D+1, votes D on the presidential level, swung hard left in 2016 (Clinton won it by 10 points), and Paulsen won't be gaining any incumbency advantage in 2018 compared to 2016.
Paulsen is definitely more entrenched and it's true that Lewis only won due to a third party run, but it sure seems to me like the Trump effect will hit a LOT harder in Paulsen's district than in Lewis'.
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