MI Qpac - Trump +3 (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 03, 2024, 07:28:25 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2024 U.S. Presidential Election
  2024 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, GeorgiaModerate, KoopaDaQuick 🇵🇸)
  MI Qpac - Trump +3 (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: MI Qpac - Trump +3  (Read 1027 times)
Tekken_Guy
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,275
United States


P P P
« on: March 14, 2024, 01:36:22 PM »

Biden’s only at 68% with black voters here. He’s at 80% in other Qpac polls (National + PA)
Logged
Tekken_Guy
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,275
United States


P P P
« Reply #1 on: March 14, 2024, 02:43:12 PM »

No way this is right and the Biden+4 national/+3 PA at the same time.
Logged
Tekken_Guy
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,275
United States


P P P
« Reply #2 on: March 14, 2024, 03:21:28 PM »

No way this is right and the Biden+4 national/+3 PA at the same time.

Yeah the weirdest part lol how are they getting Biden +4 nationally but Trump +3 in MI

Or maybe Michigan is his weakest state of the Rust Belt Trio, even though it seems hard to believe. Yeah, polling is a mess right now. Michigan polling has always been weird in particular.

It could, but probably not to the point it’s voting seven points right of the NPV. It’s hard to see it vote to the right of WI in particular.
Logged
Tekken_Guy
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,275
United States


P P P
« Reply #3 on: March 14, 2024, 05:55:16 PM »

The white/nonwhite crosstab is just getting too on the nose at this point, it's too consistent. More often than not, Biden is at or exceeding his numbers with white voters on a consistent basis, and the same with underperforming with black voters. Neither are reality imo.

In the recent national and PA polls, Biden’s getting much more reasonable 80%+ shares with blacks which are in line with typical QPac polls, whereas in this one he’s at 69%. Unless Biden has a unique problem with Michigan’s black voters that we don’t see elsewhere there are reasons to doubt this poll
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.03 seconds with 13 queries.