It's a 303 map with wave insurance the Approvals don't matter but state by state polls do matter no matter whom the Nomination is and we don't need past 303 but MT, OH, MO and FL S are important to us I am looking clearly at FL it's not 20 pts R that was IAN it's very much like AZ
Biden isn't at 40/58 in Gallup silly polls if he is leading Trump 49/45 more like 50/47
Hawley will not lose but there is a possibility he is held to a high-single digit margin.
