NC GOV 2024 - Stein (D) vs Robinson (R)

[Tekken_Guy]

https://twitter.com/davidmdrucker/status/1714584168900776234?s=46&t=-r8JGlJn...

I don't see it. Robinson has enough institutional support already I think he wins no matter what.

The general election too. North Carolina is still a red state.

No. It’s a battleground state.

[Tekken_Guy]

https://twitter.com/davidmdrucker/status/1714584168900776234?s=46&t=-r8JGlJn...

I don't see it. Robinson has enough institutional support already I think he wins no matter what.

The general election too. North Carolina is still a red state.

We literally won NC-GOV both of the most recent times. NC may be red at the federal level, but not at the state level.

It’s not a red state any more than PA a blue one.

[Tekken_Guy]

The problem with NC is that the cities aren't big enough.

Wake (Raleigh) and Mecklenburg (Charlotte), the largest 2 counties by far, are 1 million apiece, and the state has 10 million people, so that is only 20% of the population. NC has other cities of course, and when you add up the next 5 largest: Guilford (Greensboro), Forsyth (Winston-Salem), Durham (Durham), Cumberland (Fayetteville), and Buncombe (Asheville), that gets you to 4 million or 40%.

All of those cities are blue and yet they are outweighed by NC's huge rural population which is getting redder.

Pretty much the only chance NC dems have is to embiggen the major cities as much as possible until the percentage of the population in the top 7 counties is more than 50% of the state.

The cities are only getting bluer too.

[Tekken_Guy]

I don't think this will move the needle much in the primary. Tillis is basically persona non grata with the GOP base in North Carolina now, and I expect him to retire after two terms like Pat Toomey did. Unlike Toomey, he'll almost certainly be replaced by another Republican in 2026.

Depends on who's president. If it's Trump I expect the seat to flip.

[Tekken_Guy]

They forgot Robinson also said blacks should pay reparations for being liberated from slavery. The guy is Mastriano on steroids.

https://twitter.com/Eugene_Scott/status/1765448618138374243

Unlike Mastriano he could win.

Kari Lake and Herschel Walker could have won and they didn’t. Those are more apt comparisons to Robinson than Mastriano.

[Tekken_Guy]

Some of you may not know who the father of Democratic lieutenant-gubernatorial nominee Rachel Hunt is. I hope that these links will prove to be a useful study aid in these regards.

Ah yes, could've-been-President Jim Hunt. (Googles to make sure he's still alive) Could-still-be-President Jim Hunt.

Hunt/Carter 2024

Rachel Hunt/Jason Carter?

[Tekken_Guy]

It's almost like Robinson is a plant and tries to lose with his outlandish statements.

In a pre-Trump world, I would agree. But unfortunately, people like him are all too serious and are becoming increasingly common.

True but they rarely win elections outside of safe territory unless they fly under the radar like Robinson did in 2020.

[Tekken_Guy]

It's almost like Robinson is a plant and tries to lose with his outlandish statements.

In a pre-Trump world, I would agree. But unfortunately, people like him are all too serious and are becoming increasingly common.

True but they rarely win elections outside of safe territory unless they fly under the radar like Robinson did in 2020.

Their base naturally gravitates towards them, so it's easy for crazy birds to flock with similarly crazy birds. I agree Robinson is uniquely positioned to lose this race, but it's quite concerning that we can't write him off whole cloth. He ought to be taken seriously lest Democrats get complacent and choke the race away.

The issue is suburban educated voters. Those will be Robinson’s kryptonite.