New Brunswick provincial election 2020 (user search)
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  New Brunswick provincial election 2020 (search mode)
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Author Topic: New Brunswick provincial election 2020  (Read 10679 times)
brucejoel99
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Posts: 19,841
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -3.30

« on: August 17, 2020, 04:01:54 PM »

Snap elections are risky even in the best of times. The pandemic only adds much more uncertainty. If there's an outbreak during this campaign, Higgs is gonna be screwed, & especially so if it's linked to campaign activities.
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brucejoel99
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*****
Posts: 19,841
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -3.30

« Reply #1 on: August 27, 2020, 04:17:35 PM »



Interesting to see that there aren't any New Brunswick specific policies here, just your generic provincial NDP stuff.

There must be something he can use to give his candidates to use door to door.

Ehh the NDP are 5th, maybe even 6th, in a four horse race. They know that and therefore are not going to try anything notable.

What is the other party/parties who might finish above the NDP after Tories/Liberals/Greens?

People's Alliance of New Brunswick won three seats last time and ended up backing the PC minority govt. Hard to forget about them. Expectations are that the NBPA will be cannibalized like what the Tories did to the Lib-Dems in 2015, but we don't have a poll to confirm this.

We do now.

https://twitter.com/canadianpolling/status/1299066215797854209?s=21

Yeah, the NBPA supporters seem to be very comfortable with Higgs & the PCs, given how Higgs has hinted at doing things that they want (e.g., reviewing the language requirements for governmental jobs) & how Higgs' instinct is to basically cut services to improve NB's financial situation. There's a lot Higgs/PCs & the NBPA have in common, so if I put myself in the shoes of an NBPA supporter, why would I waste my vote on them instead of the PCs?

Also, lol at the thought of the NDP cracking 5%, might as well just add a couple of their points to the Greens or Liberals.
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brucejoel99
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*****
Posts: 19,841
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -3.30

« Reply #2 on: August 31, 2020, 02:21:29 PM »


The race is evidently tightening up.
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brucejoel99
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*****
Posts: 19,841
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -3.30

« Reply #3 on: September 12, 2020, 10:03:08 PM »

If the result ends up looking like that poll come Monday, then it's gonna be one hell of a night.
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brucejoel99
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*****
Posts: 19,841
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -3.30

« Reply #4 on: September 13, 2020, 11:30:50 AM »

Damn, this election polling has been so confusing. Guess we'll just have to wait 'til tomorrow night to find out what it all means.
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brucejoel99
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*****
Posts: 19,841
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -3.30

« Reply #5 on: September 13, 2020, 10:42:37 PM »

Hoping for that upset depriving the PC/PANB of a majority but that feels pretty unlikely at this point.
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