The same D internal showed Bullock ahead of Daines by 7 pts and McConnell is running for reelection in and running ads on Cornyn, Daines and his behalf.
The Senate is lost since Ds have 51 seats already AZ, CO, ME, MT and NC leading in polls and the Dems wont even need a tiebreaker with GA runoff
Dems are more likely to win the regular Georgia election than the special election. Unless you can make an argument that Republican voters will be extremely unenthusiastic following a loss in November (which carries over to January???)
I seriously doubt they could win a 50%+1 majority in the special election to win it outright with the viral pandemic, the GOP efforts to suppress the vote (even at times using it an excuse), and especially considering all the voter disenfranchisement crap the GOP pulled in 2018. It would take something truly historic, which would flip both Georgia senate seats to the Democrats lol
Still, all it takes are 4 to win an overall majority.