CA-30 and CA-44: Likely D vs. D runoffs (user search)
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  CA-30 and CA-44: Likely D vs. D runoffs (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Which D vs. D race will be closer?
#1
CA-44: Nanette Barragan vs. Aja Brown
 
#2
CA-30: Brad Sherman vs. Raji Rab
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 17

Author Topic: CA-30 and CA-44: Likely D vs. D runoffs  (Read 1382 times)
Greedo punched first
ERM64man
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« on: March 06, 2018, 03:49:10 PM »
« edited: March 06, 2018, 08:48:09 PM by ERM64man »

This runoff will be D vs. D. Can Brown make it close, or will Barragan win in a landslide? 2016 candidate Isadore Hall endorses Brown.
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Greedo punched first
ERM64man
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« Reply #1 on: March 06, 2018, 04:08:06 PM »

No. He probably just filed in order to settle debt. He was in debt after 2016. He now endorses Brown.
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Greedo punched first
ERM64man
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« Reply #2 on: March 06, 2018, 07:47:26 PM »

Yeah, with Aja Brown in, there is no way in hell Dash makes it to the runoff. She was never gonna make it in the first place but this just solidifies it.
There are now 4 candidates: Barragan (D), Dash (R), Brown (D), and Saavedra (R). Who would have made the runoff in a 3-way primary without Brown? Would it have been Dash or Saavedra?
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ERM64man
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« Reply #3 on: March 06, 2018, 07:57:24 PM »

Why would Barragan lose?
Has she done anything to aggravate her base?
No, Barragan hasn't aggravated her base. Brown is running because she doesn't want Dash in the runoff. It now looks like only one of the two districts that include Long Beach will have a D vs. R runoff, and it isn't CA-44.
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Greedo punched first
ERM64man
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« Reply #4 on: March 06, 2018, 08:50:02 PM »

Which D vs. D runoff will be closer: CA-44, Nanette Barragan vs. Aja Brown; or CA-30, Brad Sherman vs. Raji Rab?
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Greedo punched first
ERM64man
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« Reply #5 on: March 09, 2018, 03:20:24 AM »

This scandal involving Matt Dababneh might help Raji Rab.
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Greedo punched first
ERM64man
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« Reply #6 on: March 10, 2018, 03:26:50 AM »

Mark Reed is running again (Schrage is out), he is going to be the only Republican on the ticket. Though Raji is by far the best Democrat on the ballot... I, unfortunately, don't think he is going to pull this one off.

Reed is going to skate to the General Election... and then get DESTROYED by Sherman.
Where did you hear Schrage dropped out? I couldn't find that. Do you personally know Reed or Schrage?
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Greedo punched first
ERM64man
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« Reply #7 on: March 10, 2018, 04:43:23 AM »
« Edited: March 10, 2018, 04:51:32 AM by ERM64man »

The article doesn't mention anything about Schrage dropping out or even mention him at all. Maybe they haven't heard of him?
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Greedo punched first
ERM64man
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« Reply #8 on: March 12, 2018, 12:56:11 PM »
« Edited: March 12, 2018, 01:07:05 PM by ERM64man »

Could Rab beat Reed for the second runoff spot? Reed hasn't raised any money. Will there be any primary polling for CA-30? Rab is taking the race seriously. Reed is a joke.
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Greedo punched first
ERM64man
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« Reply #9 on: March 12, 2018, 04:08:08 PM »

CA-44 was drawn to elect an African-American Representative, but elected a Hispanic in a 2016 open race on the back of unusually high urban Hispanic turnout while Trump was at the top of the ticket. Barragan hasn't really aggravated anyone, but there's definitely a chance that she could be primaried by a black politician under a more normal turnout paradigm (though, given that she's a pretty uncontroversial incumbent, probably not).
I noticed that many districts in the area that have large minority populations are represented by a white Representative.
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Greedo punched first
ERM64man
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« Reply #10 on: March 12, 2018, 09:34:05 PM »

Reed isn't running he hasn't filed or announced must be a mistake on wikipedia's part only thing to indicate hes running is his website now says reed for congress 2018 no events have been planned at all and everything on his website is the same from 2016 except the year. and Schrage is still in the race so wikipedia did mess up. Rab is probably going to make the run off I've seen 20-30 Rab signs in the district
Type in "UNITED STATES REPRESENTATIVE, 30th District" in the "Office Title" section of this link. Reed is running. Reed qualified for the ballot. Schrage so far hasn't qualified.
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Greedo punched first
ERM64man
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« Reply #11 on: March 15, 2018, 03:23:35 PM »

If Rab advances, is Sherman vulnerable?
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