CO-SEN 2020: Gardner faces three early challengers (user search)
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  CO-SEN 2020: Gardner faces three early challengers (search mode)
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Question: Will Hickenlooper or Tancredo run?
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Both Hickenlooper and Tancredo		  
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Author Topic: CO-SEN 2020: Gardner faces three early challengers  (Read 3115 times)
Greedo punched first
ERM64man
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« on: October 25, 2017, 05:52:45 PM »
« edited: October 27, 2017, 07:00:59 PM by ERM64man »
Democrats Dustin Leitzel and Derrick Blanton are in. Gardner also faces a primary challenge from Jerry Natividad. If Hickenlooper gets in, Gardner is DOA.
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Greedo punched first
ERM64man
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« Reply #1 on: October 25, 2017, 06:16:23 PM »
Quote from: PNM on October 25, 2017, 06:10:36 PM
People said this about RoJo too.
Johnson was unopposed in the GOP primary in a year with an incumbent Democratic President. Unlike Johnson, Gardner has a primary opponent in a year with a Republican President.
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Greedo punched first
ERM64man
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« Reply #2 on: October 25, 2017, 07:11:11 PM »
« Edited: October 25, 2017, 07:13:44 PM by ERM64man »
Quote from: Free Bird on October 25, 2017, 06:18:33 PM
Quote from: ERM64man on October 25, 2017, 06:16:23 PM
Quote from: PNM on October 25, 2017, 06:10:36 PM
People said this about RoJo too.
Johnson was unopposed in the GOP primary in a year with an incumbent Democratic President. Unlike Johnson, Gardner has a primary opponent in a year with a Republican President.

Don't start retconning that everyone thought Johnson was toast. Even I did. Gardner is certainly the most endangered incumbent, but we all know what a godly campaigner he is.
Johnson had no early challengers. Having early challengers is a bad sign for vulnerable incumbents. Unlike WI-2016; two Democrats and a Republican challenger declared for CO-2020, before 2018. Gardner doesn't have the luck of having an incumbent Democratic President.
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Greedo punched first
ERM64man
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« Reply #3 on: October 25, 2017, 07:24:48 PM »
« Edited: October 25, 2017, 07:28:41 PM by ERM64man »
Ron Johnson was unopposed in the primary, while no Democrat declared early. Early Democratic challengers (especially when there's also an early GOP challenger) are a signs of a weak GOP incumbent likely to be defeated. Gardner faces a challenge Johnson didn't face. Gardner in 2020 is not like Johnson in 2016.
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Greedo punched first
ERM64man
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« Reply #4 on: October 25, 2017, 11:38:33 PM »
« Edited: October 25, 2017, 11:52:05 PM by ERM64man »
Quote from: People's Speaker North Carolina Yankee on October 25, 2017, 08:23:06 PM
Quote from: ERM64man on October 25, 2017, 07:24:48 PM
Ron Johnson was unopposed in the primary, while no Democrat declared early. Early Democratic challengers (especially when there's also an early GOP challenger) are a signs of a weak GOP incumbent likely to be defeated. Gardner faces a challenge Johnson didn't face. Gardner in 2020 is not like Johnson in 2016.

Many expected Feingold was running again, and that is why there weren't early challengers. Everyone was waiting to see what Feingold would do.
Johnson didn't even have a token primary challenger like Gardner does. Unlike Wisconsin, Colorado is trending Democratic.
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Greedo punched first
ERM64man
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« Reply #5 on: October 26, 2017, 12:44:35 PM »
Quote from: Talleyrand on October 26, 2017, 05:00:57 AM
Gardner will win reelection. He is extremely politically skilled and charismatic - in some ways he's an even better fit for Colorado than Marco Rubio is for Florida.

He is going to clobber Perlmutter, even if the final margin is close. It won't be pretty.
Gardner's approval rating is low. Perlmutter might not be Gardner's November opponent, especially if Hickenlooper declares.
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Greedo punched first
ERM64man
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« Reply #6 on: October 26, 2017, 03:54:09 PM »
« Edited: October 26, 2017, 03:56:30 PM by ERM64man »
Will Tom Tancredo launch a primary challenge in 2020?
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Greedo punched first
ERM64man
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« Reply #7 on: October 27, 2017, 07:01:50 PM »
Quote from: People's Speaker North Carolina Yankee on October 26, 2017, 05:31:23 PM
Quote from: ERM64man on October 25, 2017, 11:38:33 PM
Quote from: People's Speaker North Carolina Yankee on October 25, 2017, 08:23:06 PM
Quote from: ERM64man on October 25, 2017, 07:24:48 PM
Ron Johnson was unopposed in the primary, while no Democrat declared early. Early Democratic challengers (especially when there's also an early GOP challenger) are a signs of a weak GOP incumbent likely to be defeated. Gardner faces a challenge Johnson didn't face. Gardner in 2020 is not like Johnson in 2016.

Many expected Feingold was running again, and that is why there weren't early challengers. Everyone was waiting to see what Feingold would do.
Johnson didn't even have a token primary challenger like Gardner does. Unlike Wisconsin, Colorado is trending Democratic.

Doesn't change the fact that the lack of early Democratic challengers was because many expected a rematch with Feingold.


Wisconsin is more friendly to Republicans than Colorado.
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