Describe the likely political history of the previous hypothetical county (user search)
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  Describe the likely political history of the previous hypothetical county (search mode)
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Author Topic: Describe the likely political history of the previous hypothetical county  (Read 6747 times)
OBD
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,578
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -6.26

« on: February 02, 2021, 01:39:47 AM »

Probably around 55-38 Clinton but swings heavily to Trump in 2020 - say, 60-37 Trump in 2020? Also of interest are the 2004-2012 results - it votes for Kerry by low double digits, Obama in '08 by single digits, before flipping to Romney due to the Mormon vote.

Name: Helvetia County
State: Oregon
Region: Outer Portland Suburbia (north and west of Beaverton)
Population: 58,000
MHI: $66,000
Economy: Silicon Forest, agriculture, upscale services
Demographics: 40% White, 44% Asian, 8% Hispanic, 8% Other
Notes: Split off from Washington County sometime in the early 20th century, this outer Portland suburb county was initially slow to develop even as Portland's suburbia expanded outward. However, as the boom in white-collar tech jobs moved northward in the 1980s and 90s, Helvetia County became the home of a rapidly growing Asian community (an unexpected forest fire in Bethany crippled development there), mostly commuters to tech jobs in the Hillsboro area. Additionally, Helvetia County became a center for marijuana growth after Oregon legalized it - and these growers and the (relatively) socially conservative suburbanite Asian residents are often at odds.


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OBD
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,578
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -6.26

« Reply #1 on: September 17, 2022, 11:47:06 PM »

This county would be safely Republican and despite the presence of a college town. The blue island of Chardon and the rural remainder of the county would provide countervailing trends - bottom line, the county swings considerably to the right from 2008 to 2016 as the bottom falls out for Democrats in Ohio's rurals, but is beginning to balance out at around 62-36 GOP.

Name: Darshana (formerly Wasco) County
Location: Oregon
County Seat (and largest city): Rajneeshpuram (formerly The Dalles)
Population: 66,000
Demographics: 51% Asian (overwhelmingly South Asian), 35% White, 9% Hispanic, 3% Native, 2% Other
MHI: $20,000

This county, formerly a sleepy rural backwater just east of the Cascades, achieved international notoriety once the Rajneeshe religious sect successfuly seized control the county government in 1985 amid allegations of voter fraud and intimidation. Following what locals refer to as the 'Coup of 1985', the Rajneeshees consolidated power and spurred massive immigration to their community in southeast Wasco County, gradually spreading as far north as Dufur while the majority-Anglo town of The Dalles became a bastion of the intracounty opposition to the Rajneeshees. In addition, they were responsible for the creation of a massive gambling empire, whose economic boons persuaded local and federal authorities to largely leave them alone as the region underwent a tourist boom. Despite widespread outcry in Eastern Oregon, the state government in Salem was unable to effectively mount opposition to the Rajneeshees, who by 2000 had renamed the county and moved the county seat to the heart of their settlements. In recent years, various white supremacist groups have led efforts to wrest control of Darshana/Wasco County from the Rajneeshees, with formerly nonexistent settlements such as Chenowith and Petersburg becoming bustling offshoots of The Dalles, while extraordinarily high birth rates among the Rajneeshees themselves have allowed them to maintain a slim majority of the population (though thanks to a tilted population pyramid, they have lost majority control of the voting population). Sectarian violence and allegations of voter fraud are regular occurrences in this broken county, sometimes even spilling over onto the key trade arteries of I-84 and US 197 (so much to the point that following the 2008 I-84 car bombing, USDOT reportedly considered rerouting the interstate into Washington) with only the wealthy vacationer's outpost of Mosier spared from the chaos.  




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