2020 Senate election: process and result

[OBD]

lol Knute

[OBD]

                                 Analysis Oregon Senate race 2020
15th January 2020
Primary: 10 March 2020
Candidates filing deadline: 19 May 2020

Democratic Party
1.Declared:
    Kurt Schrader- U.S. Representative
2.Declined:
   1)Jeff Merkley- incumbent Senator
   2)Suzanne Bunamici- U.S. Representative

Republican Party
1.Declared:
    Knute Buehler- incumbent Governor
2.Declined:
    Greg Walden- U.S. Representative

Jeff Merkley approval rating
Approve: 1) 54%; 2) 52%
Dissapprove: 1) 32%; 2) 37%
Don't know: 1) 14%; 2) 11%
1)January 2019
2)July 2019

General election polling
K.Schrader---K.Buehler---???            Date
         42                  45         13      03/08-16/08
         44                  44         12      12/08-23/08
         44                  45         11      04/09-14/09
         45                  44         11      18/10-27/10
         46                  45          9       25/10-04/11
         45                  45         10      08/11-17/11
         45                  46          9       13/11-20/11
         46                  46          8       23/11-30/11
         45                  46          9       04/12-17/12
         47                  45          8       10/12-20/12
         46                  45          9       12/12-19/12
         47                  44          9       15/12-30/12
         46                  46          8       02/01-13/01

Rating:
Cook: Tossup
I.E.: Tossup
Sabato: Tossup
NYT: Tossup
CNN: Tossup
RCP: Tossup
Fox News: Tossup
Daily Kos: Tossup

Jeff Merkley retires to run for president. After a sensational victory of Knute Buehler in 2018, he became a popular governor. This year he decided to run for the Senate, which instantly made the race as Tossup

Interesting...

[OBD]

Can we have Susan Rice in ME please

[OBD]

Buehler is a good candidate but probably not a winner in a good year for Dems.

[OBD]

IIRK Oregon results start at like 60% reporting and are generally reflective of final results due to mail-ins (Kate Brown was up by 8 or 9 in the early vote in 2018 and won by 6 or 7).

That said, I like Knute but reeeeeee stay away from my Democratic Senate majority.

[OBD]

I may be missing it but did you overlook the Senate race in Nebraska?

That's right, even though I guess Ben Sasse will easily win senate re-election.

Wait wasn't this the TL where there was a 4-way race in Nebraska?

[OBD]

Very interesting results. Moderate rampage?