NV Sen - Emerson- Laxalt +5

[South Dakota Democrat]

It’s over. 53-47 senate, 240+ House seats, 2024 is Safe R.

You're annoying.

[South Dakota Democrat]

It’s over. 53-47 senate, 240+ House seats, 2024 is Safe R.

I remain convinced that if Oz and Warnock end up running ahead of their benchmarks, that is a deeply ominous sign for Biden, whereas Fetterman and Walker both having a good night is a good sign for him. Obviously the scale of a Republican (or FTM Democratic) victory in 2022 doesn't imply anything regarding 2024, but then you know that.

Why would Walker doing well be a good sign for Biden?

[South Dakota Democrat]

NV-01
Robertson (R) 54
Titus (D) 42

NV-02
Amodei (R) 59
Krause (D) 34

NV-03
Becker (R) 52
Lee (D) 47

NV-04
Horsford (D) 51
Peters (R) 47

Gerrymander busted.

Actually this indicates this poll is inflating Laxalt's numbers. NV is going to be close. Laxalt may have a slight advantage but this won't be one we call on election night.

NV is pretty quick. If it’s not within a point, we’ll know the winner within a few hours of poll closing.

I definitely wouldn't call it quick.

[South Dakota Democrat]

No need to waste your time picking apart this poll, folks. Emerson is the Gold Standard in Nevada and they deserve our trust after their long record of accuracy in this state. This one is over.

Do you annoy yourself as much as you annoy other people, I wonder?

[South Dakota Democrat]

No need to waste your time picking apart this poll, folks. Emerson is the Gold Standard in Nevada and they deserve our trust after their long record of accuracy in this state. This one is over.

Do you annoy yourself as much as you annoy other people, I wonder?

They did get Biden +2 in 2020 and Rosen +5 in 2018. That's pretty impressive. They overestimated the GOP by a point in 2016.

Honestly, if that was the record of University of Nevada or something, they would be called the gold standard. But since Emerson is the highest volume nonpartisan pollster that finds decent results for the GOP, their polls are often picked apart.

Saying they were accurate in the past is fine.  What I have a problem with is him them following it up with "Clearly they're 100% accurate this time too, so the election is over."  It's just lazy.