Virginia Mega Thread: The Youngkin Administration

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

What’s the best outcome narrative-wise for Biden and Trump out of VA in terms of turnout/margins in areas/with demos and overall result?

If TMac wins, it'll show that that suburbs and college educated whites are sticking with the Dems.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Apparently Richmond is currently at 85% of its 2017 turnout.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

https://twitter.com/redistrict/status/1455625211362095111?s=21

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

So at this point, whether Youngkin wins depends on if he can win a sizable chunk of Biden voters, because the depressed D turnout route doesn’t seem to be a viable option anymore.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Yeahhhhh
https://twitter.com/ScottEidler/status/1455651964889575430?s=20

He’s, ummm, referring to the county in New York…

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

This threadwebsite is a collection of indecipherable screeching noises

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Fairfax city has hit 60% turnout... up from 56% in 2017.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

If the exits indicate Youngkin +1 or +2 then that probably isn't going to equal a win if you believe that this exit poll is not good.

Yeah, because don't these polls only take into account in person voting?

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

This is going to be very, very close.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

https://mobile.twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1455680776985620483

VPAP is saying it's still Eday.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

What does Helmut Norpoth say will happen?

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

At this point, it definitely looks like Herring pulls off reelection. The other two races are more uncertain.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

At least the state senate isn't up, so Youngkin won't be able to get much done.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

So, it looks like the HoD will end up being 50-50... which means a power sharing agreement.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1455734418350514177?s=20

What does this mean for Youngkin's agenda, considering the Democrats are still in control of the state senate?

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

What’s the best outcome narrative-wise for Biden and Trump out of VA in terms of turnout/margins in areas/with demos and overall result?

If TMac wins, it'll show that that suburbs and college educated whites are sticking with the Dems.

So, he didn't win, obviously. However, I do think the results show that, despite there being some suburban reversion (almost entirely due to the midterm curse), college educated whites and metro areas are sticking with the Democrats.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

How has this thread grown more insufferable after the election?

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

https://twitter.com/YoungKimCA/status/1456021673581453312?s=20

Atlas memes incoming in 5...4...3...

There will be a red wave, but she won’t be apart of it.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

https://twitter.com/DrewWilderTV/status/1456311610935595011

Well, Virginia is going to get what they voted for.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

https://twitter.com/LVozzella/status/1456702453542498315

What...

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

https://twitter.com/LVozzella/status/1456702453542498315

What...

"Election integrity story" lol.

“Based upon information available to me now, it appears that he committed no election offense,” Konopasek said in a statement. Konopasek added that Thomas Youngkin did not make any false statements or disrupt voting, which are crimes under Virginia election law."

It was a really entitled thing for the kid to do.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

BREAKING NEWS: INCUMBENT DEMOCRAT ALEX ASKEW HAS JUST CONCEDED THE VIRGINIA-85 HOUSE RACE TO REPUBLICAN KAREN GREENHALGH. GREENHALGH WAS CERTIFIED THE WINNER OF THIS RACE BY 115 VOTES. THIS MEANS THAT THE REPUBLICANS TAKE TAKEN OVER THE VIRGINIA HOUSE OF DELEGATES WITH AT LEAST 51 SEATS. ONE MORE RACE HAS YET TO BE FULLY DECIDED. VIRGINIA-91 WILL GO THROUGH A RECOUNT OF IT'S OWN NEXT WEEK. REPUBLICAN A.C CORDOZA LED INCUMBENT DEMOCRAT MARTHA MUGLER BY 94 VOTES ON THE INITIAL COUNT. IF THE RECOUND WINDS UP SIMILAR TO TODAY'S RECOUNT, CORDOZA SHOULD WIN BY AROUND 80-85 VOTES.

Inside voice, please.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

I am so worried and terrified for America's teachers. These "anti-CRT" and "curriculum transparency" bills are so vague that even the slightest mention of race or sexuality can get an educator in trouble. The Republican Party has utterly wrecked this country.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Youngkin’s Approval Rate Already Underwater
February 21, 2022 at 4:51 pm EST By Taegan Goddard 66 Comments

A new Wason Center poll in Virginia finds Gov. Glenn Younhkin’s (R) approval rate is already underwater, 41% to 43%.

This does not mean he's terribly unpopular and should not be exaggerated.  Youngkin is substantially more popular on net than Biden.  If this approval held until late 2023, it's probably enough for Dems to narrowly deny him a trifecta, but -2 net is really pretty good for an R in VA and suggests he continues to be viewed in a different light from Trump.

Yeah, I mean, it's not catastrophic, but it's still pretty bad lol. Didn't he have a +20 favorable rating after winning the election? Nose diving to a 41% after only a month into your term isn't good at all no matter how you spin it.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

https://twitter.com/sarahah_28/status/1499003315123855360

Surprised this poll hasn't been posted yet.

Kind of doubt Northam's numbers dropped that much but whatever. Its another poll.

Democrats are very lucky that the HoD elections will be held at regularly scheduled time in 2023 at this point. But we need hard results in November to see if Virginia has moved hard right or not in the congressional elections.

Miyares already having a -10 favorable rating brings me immense joy. Sears being at -3 is also lovely.