2018 Congressional Generic Ballot and House Polls Megathread - Part 3 (user search)
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  2018 Congressional Generic Ballot and House Polls Megathread - Part 3 (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2018 Congressional Generic Ballot and House Polls Megathread - Part 3  (Read 130959 times)
Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #25 on: October 02, 2018, 10:48:00 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on October 02, 2018, 10:34:07 PM


Has the RNC triaged this race yet?
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #26 on: October 03, 2018, 02:42:37 PM »
Marist-

GCB is D+6 with registered voters

GCB is D+9 with those who say the midterms are very important to them so I take that as the Likely Voter sample.

Kavanaugh support is -9 with both RV and LV

http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/uploads/2018/10/NPR_PBS-NewsHour_Marist-Poll_USA-NOS-and-Tables_1810021305.pdf#page=3
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #27 on: October 03, 2018, 05:40:38 PM »
The risk level for Murkowski is far lower than risk Collins faces. Her write-in victory in 2010 showed the GOP that unless she resigns, she's in that seat for life. So a No vote won't leave a scratch on her.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #28 on: October 03, 2018, 09:25:53 PM »
Harry Enten was just making fun of that poll on Twitter lol.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #29 on: October 07, 2018, 11:58:44 AM »
Did we really need a topic for this, much less in the General Discussion thread?
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #30 on: October 08, 2018, 10:50:36 AM »
So as it appears now, there is no Kavanaugh bump for the GOP in the house.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #31 on: October 08, 2018, 07:32:13 PM »

Manning and McReady win with these numbers.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #32 on: October 09, 2018, 10:14:24 AM »
Quote from: ON Progressive on October 09, 2018, 10:11:04 AM
Ohio (Baldwin Wallace University):

Democrats 43
Republicans 40

Virtually identical to their September poll

https://www.bw.edu/Assets/stories/2018/2018-Fall/cri-october_survey_report-final.pdf

Where that Kavanaugh bump at tho?

The GCB in Ohio in 2016 was R+16 btw so this is pretty bad for the Republicans.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #33 on: October 09, 2018, 10:20:12 AM »
Where’s muh Kavy bump?? Sad
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #34 on: October 09, 2018, 10:55:59 AM »
Quote from: ON Progressive on October 09, 2018, 10:43:35 AM
FL-15 (Club for Growth/Spano internal)

Ross Spano (R) 46
Kristen Carlson (D) 39

GCB is 48-44 Republican

https://twitter.com/actoraaronbooth/status/1049683886467416065?s=21

That seems rather weak for the GOP in this district.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #35 on: October 09, 2018, 11:12:52 AM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on October 09, 2018, 11:10:48 AM
Democrats gain 3 points in CNN's Generic Ballot vs September:



Kavanaugh 👏🏻 Bump👏🏻
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #36 on: October 10, 2018, 03:02:02 PM »
Nate McMurray internal has him TIED with Chris Collins:



Looks good, but I want Monmouth to jump in.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #37 on: October 11, 2018, 05:28:12 PM »
Sucks that it's too late for Shalala to step aside.

The poll shows Trump's approval at only -3 here so I have some suspicions...
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #38 on: October 12, 2018, 12:31:18 PM »
Rod Blum internal has him TRAILING Abby Finkenauer-

Finkenauer (D): 44%
Blum (R): 43%

https://www.scribd.com/document/390724284/The-Polling-Company-October-2018-IA-01

Funniest part is the summary saying he's within striking distance of her... you typically don't want to have to say that you're "within striking distance" when YOU'RE the incumbent.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #39 on: October 12, 2018, 02:27:12 PM »
McAdams internal has him leading Love in UT-04 47-46%

https://www.sltrib.com/news/politics/2018/10/12/ben-mcadams-camp-says/
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #40 on: October 12, 2018, 05:06:11 PM »
Carolyn Long internal has her beating Herrera Beutler 45-43% in WA-03
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #41 on: October 13, 2018, 03:53:11 PM »
Quote from: Hindsight is 2020 on October 13, 2018, 08:59:20 AM
A poll of a Missouri stare senate race in the 22nd district (which covers almost all of Jefferson county) has Claire up 3 over Hawley. Which would be consistent with the CNN poll having Claire up 3+ https://static1.squarespace.com/static/59015f4b37c581b2ce01e5b3/t/5bc1da8e652deab94f127930/1539431056356/MOScout+Weekly+Poll+-+Senate+22+-+10.13.18.pdf

If McCaskill wins this district, she edges out Hawley.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #42 on: October 13, 2018, 11:21:13 PM »
« Edited: October 14, 2018, 12:25:47 AM by PittsburghSteel »
Midnight Poll release from ABC for reasons only ABC knows-

Democrats: 53%
Republicans: 42%

Now that's among RVs. The article mentions that among LVs the lead ranges from D+12 to D+14 depending on turnout, but presented no numbers.

https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/trumps-approval-improves-dems-lead-house/story?id=58469893
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #43 on: October 13, 2018, 11:35:24 PM »
Voters trust the Democrats over the Republicans with dealing with the Supreme Court 49-38%
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #44 on: October 13, 2018, 11:45:42 PM »

Oh wow.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #45 on: October 14, 2018, 12:25:19 AM »

Look up a couple posts Wink
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #46 on: October 14, 2018, 08:03:41 PM »
Quote from: Mondale on October 14, 2018, 07:57:04 PM


Heller: 8%
Rosen: 6%

Undecided: 86%
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #47 on: October 15, 2018, 10:04:16 AM »
Quote from: 2016 on October 15, 2018, 10:02:23 AM
CNU had Jennifer Wexton up 10 over Comstock a week ago...and now they have Taylor up 7 over Luria. Not everything is rosy in the House for the Dems.

And exactly how does the poll in VA-10 from a week ago relate to VA-02?
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #48 on: October 15, 2018, 12:44:19 PM »
McAdams has now drawn even with Love in UT-04, 46-46%

https://www.sltrib.com/news/politics/2018/10/15/poll-th-district-race-is/
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #49 on: October 15, 2018, 07:28:16 PM »
Quote from: 2016 on October 15, 2018, 07:13:37 PM
Quote from: Ebsy on October 15, 2018, 06:54:13 PM
Throw it in the average. There are always going to be polls at the lower bounds.

Why would there by a WAVE Election IF

# 1 We've the lowest UE Rate in 50 Years!
# 2 The GDP is rising
etc...

You & many others absolutely ignoring the Economy like it's unimportant. It isn't.

Please do point us to the last time the economy helped the governing party in a midterm.
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