NYT LIVE POLL THREAD: (user search)
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  NYT LIVE POLL THREAD: (search mode)
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Poll
Question: How would you rate the NYT/Siena House polls methodology
#1
A: Freedom Methodology
 
#2
B
 
#3
C
 
#4
D
 
#5
F: Horrible Methodology
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 139

Author Topic: NYT LIVE POLL THREAD:  (Read 138471 times)
Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #25 on: October 03, 2018, 07:10:47 PM »

The concern trolling gets old, guys. Most voters don't believe Kav is innocent and a strong majority disapprove of the GOP's handling of the allegations, according to Quinnipac. Cool it.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #26 on: October 08, 2018, 10:55:20 PM »

Cohn should really drop this entire project. It's clear a lot of these polls are trash.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
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« Reply #27 on: October 08, 2018, 11:12:33 PM »

Cohn should really drop this entire project. It's clear a lot of these polls are trash.

eh some of them are valuable and it still gives readers a good insight into polling.

Yeah.

For example, the incumbents under 50% are the most interesting ones since those are the ones who would be susceptible to a wave election.

I do agree, but they're so much more Republican friendly than the other polls with good ratings on 538 like Monmouth.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #28 on: October 08, 2018, 11:17:15 PM »

Cohn should really drop this entire project. It's clear a lot of these polls are trash.

They're not suddenly trash just because you dislike the results now.

Oh shove it. My problem with them is the fact Bredesen has a +2 favorable rating while Blackburn is at +14. That's obviously not the case.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
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« Reply #29 on: October 08, 2018, 11:41:32 PM »

Cohn should really drop this entire project. It's clear a lot of these polls are trash.

They're not suddenly trash just because you dislike the results now.

Oh shove it. My problem with them is the fact Bredesen has a +2 favorable rating while Blackburn is at +14. That's obviously not the case.

Does it really matter what the favorability ratings are? It's pretty obvious from the trendlines that Blackburn is surging regardless.

PittsburghSteel hasnt been a fan of these polls this entire time, so the criticism is valid. I still dont like how people take these polls at face value, and have been a naysayer this whole time. I would also have to agree that certain demographics tend to be overpolled, and others underpolled, causing strange results.

Funny how none of these caveats are ever mentioned on a poll that shows good results for Dems.

You just don't like to be wrong.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #30 on: October 09, 2018, 08:50:07 PM »

Rosen is also up 12 among those who are certain to vote.

I think this is mainly why Nevada polls always show Democrats trailing in the state before they pull of victories on Election Day. Undecideds in Nevada always break for the Democrats in the end.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #31 on: October 10, 2018, 07:45:55 PM »

TN and TX were obviously long shots from the get-go, but have we forgotten that these polls have an obvious R-lean? It gave Andy Barr a one-point lead over McGrath and every other poll, internal and public, have shown McGrath up.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
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« Reply #32 on: October 10, 2018, 08:40:51 PM »

TN and TX were obviously long shots from the get-go, but have we forgotten that these polls have an obvious R-lean? It gave Andy Barr a one-point lead over McGrath and every other poll, internal and public, have shown McGrath up.

This is an important point that atlas seems to have forgotten. Marsha Blackburn is NOT ahead of Phil Bredesen by 15 points!



She’s just ahead by like 11.

I know you're beings sarcastic, but not even that.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #33 on: October 10, 2018, 08:43:27 PM »

Maybe you should save your #hottakes until after the poll is finished?

Yeah we don’t wanna jump to conclusions when the Dem candidates in TX and TN are down by 9 and 15 points respectively. Those remaining callers will surely close the gap!

Literally one poll, kiddo. You're drawing way too many conclusions.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
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« Reply #34 on: October 10, 2018, 08:47:15 PM »

Maybe you should save your #hottakes until after the poll is finished?

Yeah we don’t wanna jump to conclusions when the Dem candidates in TX and TN are down by 9 and 15 points respectively. Those remaining callers will surely close the gap!

Literally one poll, kiddo. You're drawing way too many conclusions.

Actually multiple polls in the last two months have shown this trend. Literally look below at my signature (which doesn’t have this Siena poll updated in it yet).

For the live of Christ, EVERYONE has seen your bio.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
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Posts: 15,047
United States


P P
« Reply #35 on: October 10, 2018, 08:52:11 PM »

Maybe you should save your #hottakes until after the poll is finished?

Yeah we don’t wanna jump to conclusions when the Dem candidates in TX and TN are down by 9 and 15 points respectively. Those remaining callers will surely close the gap!

Literally one poll, kiddo. You're drawing way too many conclusions.

Actually multiple polls in the last two months have shown this trend. Literally look below at my signature (which doesn’t have this Siena poll updated in it yet).

For the live of Christ, EVERYONE has seen your bio.

Then why did you say I was drawing too many conclusions off a single poll when most polls in the last two months have shown this exact trend? Are you unwilling to accept that this poll just furthers this trend?

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