Sabato's Crystal Ball 2019-2020 Gubernatorial ratings. (user search)
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  Sabato's Crystal Ball 2019-2020 Gubernatorial ratings. (search mode)
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Author Topic: Sabato's Crystal Ball 2019-2020 Gubernatorial ratings.  (Read 1936 times)
TheSaint250
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,071


Political Matrix
E: -2.84, S: 5.22

P P
« on: December 07, 2018, 08:29:51 AM »

What I'd change:

IN: Safe R --> Likely R
KY: Lean R --> Tossup
MO: Likely R --> Lean R
WA: Likely D --> Safe D
WV: Likely R --> Lean R


I'm unsure about Mississippi. I want to move it to "Tossup," but the condition that Hood must win a majority of state House districts presents a big challenge.

Also, if they did "Leans," I'd put Louisiana as "Tilt D," but that is due to the possible effects of partisanship and the candidacy of Ralph Abraham. I'm not too familiar with Abraham or his approvals and statewide appeal, but a member of Congress not named David Vitter could make this interesting.
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