Feb. 9th and 10th election predictions

[Torie]

I'll put up predictions tomorrow:  Louisiana is tougher than it looks b/c I don't know how many blacks are left.

Hmmm...  I wonder how Ms. Babineaux Blanco and her ilk will vote???

Enough as to the first query, easily. Blacks live in large numbers outside of NO in Louisiana, and NO is still majority black to boot, and some whites left too.

[Torie]

I guess my point is that the bleaching of Louisiana stuff is overdone, and largely hype. It might be around 35,000 votes or so overall, if it were a general election. But I guess if Pubbies can vote in this primary, maybe all bets are off, come to think of it. On the other hand, Obama is a mere mulatto, and Louisiana is sensitive to things like that. Nowhere else in American are terms like quadroon and octaroon used either.

[Torie]

Thanks. I didn't know Louisiana had party registration, but it looks like it does. And among Dems it's 44.8% black. I think it's a done deal, unless the figures are stale, and in Orleans parish it looks like they might be. But still  ...