'06 House: Will there be party switches?

[Torie]

If it made a difference, Taylor and Cuellar might switch, and maybe Melancon. The odds that it will make a difference are low.

[Torie]

Shays is going to retire involuntarily from the House, so what he mgiht do is moot. Taylor has refused to vote for Dem speakers in the past; I don't know why he would stop just saying "no" now. Cuellar has a new district that is even more Bush friendly than the last one, something like 53% or so. He can do what he wants. I think he might be ripe hanging fruit if his vote made a difference. Melancon might be interested if he has a tough re-election battle, given the "new" demographics" down there. If he doesn't, I doubt he will be tempted.