One more tidbit: A conviction in the hush money trial matters to 36% of voters. 15% of voters actually would be more likely to vote for him, but they're probably already Trump voters. 21% of voters would be less likely to vote for him, and it's likely they are mostly swing voters. So if Quinnipiac is right the election probably moves to the Biden +3 or Biden +6 range with a Trump conviction (which is in line with other polling).
Trump won't be convicted in the Hush Money Trial. Even some of the experts at MSNBC, which is the most D-friendly Network, are now backing off and say that the case lacks evidence. That's my view as well. DA Alvin Bragg only brought this up to hurt Trumps Poll Numbers.
